Strategic asset allocation — mean-variance and beyond
In this chapter: Mean-variance optimisation (MVO) and limitations · Black-Litterman approach · Risk-parity · Liability-driven investing (ALM) · Re-sampled efficient frontier
SAA defines the long-run mix of asset classes. Different methodologies suit different investor types and constraints. CFA L3 essays test selecting and defending an approach.
**Mean-variance optimisation (MVO)**: - Inputs: expected returns (μ), covariances (Σ), risk aversion (λ). - Solve: max U = μ'w – (λ/2) w'Σw subject to constraints. - Output: weights minimising variance for target return (or maximising return for target risk). MVO weaknesses: - "Error maximisation": small changes in inputs → big shifts in weights. - Highly sensitive to expected return inputs. - Concentrates in 2-3 assets often (corner solutions). - Single-period framework. **Black-Litterman**: - Combines market-implied equilibrium returns with investor views. - Reduces estimation error by anchoring at market consensus. - Allows partial views (e.g., "Indian equity will outperform US by 2%"). **Risk parity**: - Equal risk contribution from each asset class. - Typically: lever fixed income to match equity risk. - 60/40 in dollars ≠ 60/40 in risk (equity dominates). **ALM (Liability-Driven Investing)**: - For pension/insurance: assets must match liability profile. - Surplus optimisation: maximise return subject to surplus volatility.
Constraints in SAA: - Long-only (most common). - Position limits (max 30% any class). - Liquidity reserve. - ESG exclusions. Resampling: - Run MVO across many input scenarios. - Average resulting frontier weights. - Reduces input-sensitivity. Used by Ibbotson, Morningstar. Factor-based approach: - Allocate to factors (value, momentum, low-vol) rather than asset classes. - Cleaner risk attribution; matches what drives returns. Rebalancing rules: - Calendar (e.g., quarterly). - Tolerance bands (rebalance when weight drifts >5% from target). - Tax-aware: minimise realised gains.
CFA L3 essay: "Recommend an SAA framework for [investor type]." Score points by: - Identifying objectives + constraints (return, risk, liquidity, time horizon, taxes, legal, unique). - Choosing methodology consistent with investor type. - Listing weaknesses and remedies. - Specifying rebalancing policy. For pensions: ALM (surplus optimisation). For endowments: spending-policy-driven optimisation (Yale model). For private wealth: goals-based or after-tax MVO. For sovereign wealth: long-horizon equilibrium with intergenerational equity.
- CFA Institute Asset Allocation curriculum
- Custom IPS templates
- Letting MVO do all the work — input quality matters more.
- Ignoring tax in personal-wealth SAA.
- Fixed-percentage rebalancing without tolerance bands → over-trading.
- Not aligning SAA with liability profile for institutions.
Frequently asked
What's the right rebalance frequency?
Should I use risk parity for personal wealth?
Practice questions
Click each question to reveal the answer and explanation.
Q 1MVO is highly sensitive to:- (a)Holdings period
- (b)Expected return inputs
- (c)Asset names
- (d)Currency
- (a)Holdings period
- (b)Expected return inputs
- (c)Asset names
- (d)Currency
Q 2Black-Litterman starts with:- (a)Investor views only
- (b)Market-implied equilibrium returns
- (c)Equal weights
- (d)Random
- (a)Investor views only
- (b)Market-implied equilibrium returns
- (c)Equal weights
- (d)Random
Q 3Risk parity equalises:- (a)Dollar weights
- (b)Risk contributions across assets
- (c)Returns
- (d)Volatility of each holding
- (a)Dollar weights
- (b)Risk contributions across assets
- (c)Returns
- (d)Volatility of each holding
Q 4ALM is most relevant for:- (a)Young retail investors
- (b)Pension and insurance with explicit liabilities
- (c)Day traders
- (d)Charities only
- (a)Young retail investors
- (b)Pension and insurance with explicit liabilities
- (c)Day traders
- (d)Charities only
Q 5Rebalancing tolerance bands reduce:- (a)Diversification
- (b)Trading costs while keeping risk in line
- (c)Long-run return
- (d)Tax burden always
- (a)Diversification
- (b)Trading costs while keeping risk in line
- (c)Long-run return
- (d)Tax burden always